My Current Trading Tactics for Bitcoin and Kaspa
Bitcoin.
The volatility of Bitcoin, judging by the number of transactions in the @KAS_USDT_bot, is about 4 times less than on the Kaspa. But from the other side, the BTC price doesn't fall that much if compared to Kaspa. I plan to replenish the Bitcoin part of the bot once a week, but only in those weeks when the rate is above 90k, by selling some part of my hold portfolio. During this cycle I expect to see the very lowest price for BTC around 35k, considering the current ATH of 109k. Based on this and guided by statistics gained from Kaspa, I will divide the BTC deposit into 150 parts. I plan to increase the order size only if it will be enough for the bot to stay "alive" if the price falls to 35k. Accordingly, if the rate grows, I will reduce the order size. The maximum division of the deposit will be at ATH - I'm thinking about 250 parts to overcome a potential drop by ~60%. In my opinion, this is a plan for an ever-working bot. I may adjust the figures a bit as more data appears. The expected return should be around 30 percent per year. I believe this will be a conservative part of the portfolio.
Kaspa.
Like all Alts, Kaspa had a deep price fall but has grown a little in the last few days. We'll see if this is a change in trend or just a rebound. In any case, I'm just waiting for the May 5 - Crescendo fork. I really wanted to top up the deposit not to miss such "sweet" prices and with such good volatility and not let the bot stand or trade crumbs, but for the sake of the purity of the experiment, I decided not to do this. As a consequence of decreasing the order size, I faced a decrease in profit. During the whole 2024, Kaspa's price fluctuated between 0.1 and 0.2. That meant that depo division into 100 parts with a bit could cover the entire range, and the most effective strategy was to divide it into 70 parts. However, 2025 made adjustments. Considering this experience, I will not set the order size higher than 1/200 parts of the deposit when the price goes up.
That's all I have to say at the moment. Let Trump add some positive news, because now we have good volatility, but the price levels would be better if they were higher😂
Originally posted in Telegram channel.