January 2026 Bot Results: Modest Numbers, Uncertain Macro
January 2026 KAS USDT BOT results
The first half of January was very calm, but the second half was quite the opposite. We saw a continuous decline that intensified in early February. The figures are modest, considering the market was flat for half the month and then dropped with minimal pullbacks during the other half.
Regarding Kaspa: The bot's deposit is currently fully in coins. However, the lowest order isn't that far off - around 0.035 - which is a very reachable price. A fork with major updates is promised by May. Trading volumes and price have dropped, so I think the best move for now is to wait and see how things develop. If we fall below 0.02, I won't wait for Bitcoin to rise according to my strategy; I will top up the deposit ahead of schedule - both the public bot deposit and my private one.
Bitcoin dropped significantly and saw a slight bounce. There is a lot of uncertainty coming from Trump, along with the endless delays and rollbacks of crucial crypto legislation (CBDC Act and Clarity Act). On January 15, the vote on the Clarity Act was canceled - just look at what happened to the price. Currently, it seems these laws won't be passed until closer to the end of the year. Based on this, the situation is playing out like a textbook scenario. Judge for yourself:
🔹 The "Head and Shoulders" pattern on the BTC chart suggests a potential drop all the way down to $25k.
🔹Historical timing and BTC price cycles: in recent cycles, the gap between the peak and the subsequent bottom has been about 350 days. For the current cycle, that would put the bottom in early October.
🔹By that time, there should be more clarity regarding the laws, which might provide the momentum for major buying.
🔹Until then, we are likely in a downtrend until autumn.
I’ve identified this as the most probable scenario for myself.
The bot's deposit is designed for a drop down to $40k; if we fall lower, I hope we won't stay there for long. I don't want to split the deposit any further, as it would significantly reduce profitability. The 300 USDC from the BTC portion of the demo portfolio is still in staking on MEXC. Obviously, there is no talk of a $100k price or topping up the deposit by selling part of the "hold" portfolio for now.
I should also add that at current levels, it might be much safer to invest and use higher-risk bot settings if compare with market highs. As a reminder, you can test the bot in the free version with a demo deposit: @KAS_DEMO_BOT
Originally posted on Telegram channel.
